One team is 4-0. The other team is 2-2. Cakewalk, right?
Of course not. Because that 2-2 team is Michigan State, and their two losses are to fellow national elite programs North Carolina and Duke. They’re the rulers of the Big Ten, the team whose last year outside the NCAA Tournament was 1997.
So how do the Michigan State Spartans stack up this season? The team has obviously faced better competition than Milwaukee has, with decent results.
Michigan State is ranked 25th in the nation in rebounding with 42.6 boards per contest. The team has been held to just 40.4% shooting on the season, 250th in the nation.
But what is it that makes this Michigan State team a tough draw for Milwaukee?
Speed, speed and speed. The Spartans have a familiar face to Panther fans, Brandon Wood, in the starting lineup, ready to run the court with anyone in the country. Tomorrow, Wood gets to see a team that ended his conference tournament last year.
If the Panthers are to win, they need to do two things – they need to get back in transition and they need to stop MSU from getting second-chance points. These two pieces, in addition to the obvious effective shooting, will put the Panthers in position to win the game.
Michigan State is not the best shooting team in the country. They lost games against North Carolina and Duke because they missed many open looks and forced several bad shots. They won the other two games by playing the offensive boards hard, creating those second-chance opportunities. If the Panthers can play the defensive glass hard and force their will on the Spartans down low, they can limit those second-chance opportunities and maybe, just maybe, control the flow of the game.
The other part of beating the Spartans is to get back in transition. Because they’re a marginal shooting team, the Spartans try to create better shot opportunities by getting defensive rebounds and making quick outlet passes to score fast. Being able to put the defense on their heels right away is what gets Michigan State better looks. If the Panthers can’t play the offensive glass strong and/or shoot the ball well enough to win, the day could be a long one.
Defensively, Michigan State is as big and physical as they are on offense. They give up shots, but take defensive rebounding very seriously as it’s a big part of their transition offense. Milwaukee can get open looks by taking advantage of their perimeter defense (see: Brandon Wood guarding Kaylon Williams, 2011 Horizon Semifinals) and making open looks when they get them.
If Milwaukee can do those three things – get back on transition D, limit second-chance points and shoot effectively – they will have a great shot to win the game.
Filed under: Milwaukee, Previews | Tagged: big ten basketball, Brandon Wood, delvon roe, draymond green, effective field goal percentage, Horizon League, Ja'Rob McCallum, Michigan State, michigan state basketball, Milwaukee, Milwaukee Panthers, msu spartans, Rob Jeter, second-chance points, tom izzo, transition defense, Valparaiso | Leave a comment »